Athletic Club vs Espanyol: prediction and statistics

Spain · La Liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off 20:00 UTC

Team stats: Athletic Club · Espanyol

Before kick-off

La Liga, 20 November 2026: Athletic Club are at home to Espanyol. Athletic Club sit 7th in the 20-team table while Espanyol are 13th, so 6 places separate the two sides.

Few sides are in better shape than Athletic Club right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Espanyol recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Athletic Club against 4 for Espanyol.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Athletic Club have 23 wins, 11 draws and 10 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Espanyol — 10 wins, 9 draws and 25 defeats in 44 away matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 61 meetings — wins: Athletic Club 17, Espanyol 25; draws: 19. The most recent meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Espanyol 2:0 Athletic Club. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.

Key facts

• Over 2.5 goals happened in 43% of Athletic Club’s home matches and 50% of Espanyol’s away matches over three seasons.
• Our model expects more corners from Athletic Club: 6.8 against 3.2 for Espanyol.
• Athletic Club is the more likely winner in our model: 58%, draw 22%.

Corners

Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Athletic Club 6.8, Espanyol 3.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 49%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.

Yellow cards

Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Athletic Club 2.4, Espanyol 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 56%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.

Result

Our model: Athletic Club win 58%, draw 22%, Espanyol win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 57%.

Form

Athletic Club: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.

• 5 matches unbeaten · at home
• 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions

Espanyol: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.

• 7 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
• 6 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions

Table: Athletic Club — 7, Espanyol — 13 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Athletic Club at home and Espanyol away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Head to head

61 meetings in our database: Athletic Club won 17, 19 draws, Espanyol won 25. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.9 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.

• 13.05.2026: Espanyol 2:0 Athletic Club
• 22.12.2025: Athletic Club 1:2 Espanyol
• 16.02.2025: Espanyol 1:1 Athletic Club

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers