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Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Atlanta United FC 5.5, FC Cincinnati 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Atlanta United FC 1.8, FC Cincinnati 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: Atlanta United FC win 40%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
Atlanta United FC: last five matches — W-W-L-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
FC Cincinnati: last five matches — D-L-L-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Atlanta United FC — 28, FC Cincinnati — 18 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atlanta United FC at home and FC Cincinnati away, 2024–2026.
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 50 |
| Win rate | 31% | 46% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 68% |
| Both teams score | 77% | 70% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 42% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Atlanta United FC won 6, 7 draws, FC Cincinnati won 5. Per match: 2.8 goals, 10.4 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 21.02.2026: FC Cincinnati 2:0 Atlanta United FC
- 25.05.2025: Atlanta United FC 4:2 FC Cincinnati
- 22.03.2025: FC Cincinnati 2:2 Atlanta United FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Market line without margin: Atlanta United FC 40%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 35%.