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Austria Salzburg vs Admira Wacker: prediction and statistics
Austria · 2. Liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Austria Salzburg · Admira Wacker
Before kick-off
2. Liga, 20 November 2026: Austria Salzburg are at home to Admira Wacker. They are neighbours in the table: Austria Salzburg are 5th and Admira Wacker 6th of 16.
An uneven run for Austria Salzburg: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Admira Wacker have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Austria Salzburg have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats in 20 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Admira Wacker travel well: 17 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats in 36 away matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Austria Salzburg 0:0 Admira Wacker.
Form
Austria Salzburg: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Admira Wacker: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Austria Salzburg — 5, Admira Wacker — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
Austria Salzburg at home and Admira Wacker away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Austria Salzburg | Admira Wacker | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 36 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-6-5 | 17-9-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Austria Salzburg won 0, 1 draws, Admira Wacker won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 11.04.2026: Austria Salzburg 0:0 Admira Wacker
- 18.10.2025: Admira Wacker 4:0 Austria Salzburg
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 38% – 23% – 38%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 65% of Austria Salzburg’s home matches and 44% of Admira Wacker’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Austria Salzburg 2.3, Admira Wacker 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 48%).
Result
Our model: Austria Salzburg win 38%, draw 23%, Admira Wacker win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Austria Salzburg | Admira Wacker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | 7.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 18% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 42% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.