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Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Blackpool · Milton Keynes Dons
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Blackpool 5.1, Milton Keynes Dons 5.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Blackpool 1.8, Milton Keynes Dons 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Blackpool win 40%, draw 24%, Milton Keynes Dons win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.
Form
Blackpool: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Milton Keynes Dons: last five matches — L-D-L-D-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Blackpool — 18, Milton Keynes Dons — 23 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Blackpool at home and Milton Keynes Dons away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Blackpool | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 4 |
| Win rate | 40% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 25% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Blackpool won 3, 1 draws, Milton Keynes Dons won 1. Per match: 1.2 goals, 9.5 corners, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 09.03.2021: Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 Blackpool
- 24.10.2020: Blackpool 1:0 Milton Keynes Dons
- 14.09.2019: Blackpool 0:3 Milton Keynes Dons
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 30%.
Who is more likely to win Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our model: Blackpool 40%, draw 24%, Milton Keynes Dons 36%.