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BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun: prediction and statistics
Switzerland · Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: BSC Young Boys · FC Thun
Before kick-off
Super League, 21 November 2026: BSC Young Boys are at home to FC Thun. BSC Young Boys sit 2nd in the 12-team table while FC Thun are 8th, so 6 places separate the two sides. BSC Young Boys are part of the leading group.
Recent results of BSC Young Boys are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. FC Thun have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 8 against 7.
BSC Young Boys are hard to beat on their own ground — 26 wins, 11 draws and 8 defeats in 45 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. FC Thun travel well: 16 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats in 26 away matches, with 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.8 per game in home matches of BSC Young Boys and 3.8 in away matches of FC Thun.
Head to head, BSC Young Boys have the upper hand: 16 wins in 26 meetings with FC Thun in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished FC Thun 0:6 BSC Young Boys. On average these meetings produce 4.3 goals.
Form
BSC Young Boys: last five matches — D-W-W-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
FC Thun: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: BSC Young Boys — 2, FC Thun — 8 (of 12).
Home and away record
BSC Young Boys at home and FC Thun away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| BSC Young Boys | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 26 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-11-8 | 16-1-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Head to head
26 meetings in our database: BSC Young Boys won 16, 4 draws, FC Thun won 6. Per match: 4.3 goals.
- 01.08.2026: FC Thun 0:6 BSC Young Boys
- 14.05.2026: FC Thun 3:8 BSC Young Boys
- 08.03.2026: BSC Young Boys 1:2 FC Thun
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- BSC Young Boys is the more likely winner in our model: 69%, draw 15%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 73% of BSC Young Boys’s home matches and 81% of FC Thun’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours BSC Young Boys: 16 wins in 26 meetings with FC Thun.
- Our model expects more corners from BSC Young Boys: 6.1 against 4.1 for FC Thun.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: BSC Young Boys 6.1, FC Thun 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 69%, typical match 69%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: BSC Young Boys 2.0, FC Thun 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: BSC Young Boys win 69%, draw 15%, FC Thun win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 84%, both teams to score — 75%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| BSC Young Boys | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 81% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 77% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 76% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 50% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.