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Bucaramanga vs America de Cali: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.6 corners in the match: Bucaramanga 4.8, America de Cali 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 36% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 51%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.6 yellow cards: Bucaramanga 2.6, America de Cali 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 66% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 81%, typical match 82%.
Result
Our model: Bucaramanga win 42%, draw 27%, America de Cali win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Bucaramanga: last five matches — D-D-D-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
America de Cali: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Bucaramanga — 9, America de Cali — 2 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bucaramanga at home and America de Cali away, 2024–2026.
| Bucaramanga | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 65 |
| Win rate | 52% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 8.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 36% | 31% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.1 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 73% | 59% |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Bucaramanga won 5, 7 draws, America de Cali won 11. Per match: 2.0 goals, 8.9 corners, 5.1 yellow cards.
- 02.04.2026: America de Cali 2:0 Bucaramanga
- 06.03.2026: America de Cali 2:1 Bucaramanga
- 16.09.2025: America de Cali 0:0 Bucaramanga
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
Our model expects 8.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 36%.
How many yellow cards in Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
Our model expects 5.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 66%.
Who is more likely to win Bucaramanga vs America de Cali?
Our model: Bucaramanga 42%, draw 27%, America de Cali 31%.