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Burton Albion vs Bradford: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Burton Albion · Bradford
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Burton Albion 4.5, Bradford 6.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Burton Albion 1.6, Bradford 2.5; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Burton Albion win 28%, draw 28%, Bradford win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.
Form
Burton Albion: last five matches — W-D-D-D-L.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Bradford: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Burton Albion — 10, Bradford — 2 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Burton Albion at home and Bradford away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Burton Albion | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 29 |
| Win rate | 31% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 48% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Burton Albion won 6, 4 draws, Bradford won 4. Per match: 2.9 goals, 10.0 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Burton Albion 2:1 Bradford
- 08.11.2025: Bradford 1:2 Burton Albion
- 18.10.2022: Burton Albion 4:0 Bradford
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Our model: Burton Albion 28%, draw 28%, Bradford 43%.