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Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo: prediction and statistics

Belgium · Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Cercle Brugge KSV host KVC Westerlo in Pro League on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: KVC Westerlo are 9th of 18, Cercle Brugge KSV 16th — a gap of 7 places. Cercle Brugge KSV are in the bottom three.

Results have gone against Cercle Brugge KSV recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. An uneven run for KVC Westerlo: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.

Home matches have been a struggle for Cercle Brugge KSV (2024/25–2026/27) — 12 wins, 12 draws and 18 defeats in 42 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 on average. Away from home KVC Westerlo have 15 wins, 10 draws and 20 defeats in 45 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.7 per game.

The 22 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Cercle Brugge KSV 10, KVC Westerlo 9, draws 3. Last time out (17 January 2026) it ended KVC Westerlo 0:2 Cercle Brugge KSV. On average these meetings produce 3.2 goals.

Form

Cercle Brugge KSV: last five matches — D-L-L-L-W.

KVC Westerlo: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.

Table: Cercle Brugge KSV — 16, KVC Westerlo — 9 (of 18).

Home and away record

Cercle Brugge KSV at home and KVC Westerlo away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Cercle Brugge KSVKVC Westerlo
Matches4245
Wins · draws · losses12-12-1815-10-20
Goals scored per match1.41.4
Goals conceded per match1.61.7

Head to head

22 meetings in our database: Cercle Brugge KSV won 10, 3 draws, KVC Westerlo won 9. Per match: 3.2 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Cercle Brugge KSV should win the corner count: 6.4 expected against 4.0 for KVC Westerlo.
  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 62% of Cercle Brugge KSV home games and 49% of KVC Westerlo away games.

Corners

59%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Cercle Brugge KSV 6.4, KVC Westerlo 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 54%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.

Yellow cards

68%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Cercle Brugge KSV 1.8, KVC Westerlo 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 38%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 62%.

Result

Our model: Cercle Brugge KSV win 47%, draw 22%, KVC Westerlo win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 68%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Cercle Brugge KSVKVC Westerlo
Win rate29%33%
Over 2.5 goals62%49%
Both teams score67%49%
Total corners per match10.610.9
Over 9.5 corners57%64%
Total yellow cards per match3.74.3
Over 4.5 yellow cards31%47%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 9.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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