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Chapulineros vs Cordobés: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 10 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Chapulineros · Cordobés
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of Chapulineros home games and 33% of Cordobés away games.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Chapulineros win 48%, draw 27%, Cordobés win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Chapulineros: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Cordobés: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Chapulineros — 11, Cordobés — 15 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Chapulineros at home and Cordobés away, 2026.
| Chapulineros | Cordobés | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 33% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 83% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Chapulineros vs Cordobés?
Our model: Chapulineros 48%, draw 27%, Cordobés 25%.