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Tigres de Alica vs Jaguares de Chiapas: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 14 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tigres de Alica · Jaguares de Chiapas
🔒 Forecast for this match is in the Xpect app
Corners, cards, result, goals, team stats and referee — all lines are open in the app.
Form
Tigres de Alica: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 25 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 17 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Jaguares de Chiapas: last five matches — W-L-W-D-D.
- 11 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Tigres de Alica — 5, Jaguares de Chiapas — 7 (of 18).
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.