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Charlton vs Bristol City: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Charlton 5.4, Bristol City 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Charlton 1.9, Bristol City 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 52%.
Result
Market line without margin: Charlton win 30%, draw 29%, Bristol City win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Charlton: last five matches — W-W-W-D-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Bristol City: last five matches — D-D-W-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Charlton — 10, Bristol City — 9 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Charlton at home and Bristol City away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Charlton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 51 |
| Win rate | 41% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 26% | 31% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Charlton won 3, 2 draws, Bristol City won 3. Per match: 2.6 goals, 11.5 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 03.04.2026: Charlton 1:2 Bristol City
- 16.08.2025: Bristol City 0:0 Charlton
- 26.12.2019: Charlton 3:2 Bristol City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Charlton vs Bristol City?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Charlton vs Bristol City?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Charlton vs Bristol City?
Market line without margin: Charlton 30%, draw 29%, Bristol City 42%.