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Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab: prediction and statistics
India · Indian Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Chennaiyin · Minerva Punjab
Before kick-off
Chennaiyin host Minerva Punjab in Indian Super League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Chennaiyin are 8th and Minerva Punjab 5th out of 13 teams.
Chennaiyin have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Minerva Punjab are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
Home matches have been a struggle for Chennaiyin (2024/25–2026/27) — 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats in 20 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 on average. Away from home Minerva Punjab have 7 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats in 21 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game.
The 8 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Chennaiyin 2, Minerva Punjab 3, draws 3. Last time out (6 May 2026) it ended Minerva Punjab 1:0 Chennaiyin. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Chennaiyin: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Minerva Punjab: last five matches — W-W-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Chennaiyin — 8, Minerva Punjab — 5 (of 13).
Home and away record
Chennaiyin at home and Minerva Punjab away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Chennaiyin | Minerva Punjab | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 5-7-8 | 7-5-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Chennaiyin won 2, 3 draws, Minerva Punjab won 3. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 06.05.2026: Minerva Punjab 1:0 Chennaiyin
- 15.02.2025: Chennaiyin 2:1 Minerva Punjab
- 31.10.2024: Minerva Punjab 3:2 Chennaiyin
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 55% of Chennaiyin home games and 67% of Minerva Punjab away games.
- Our model makes Minerva Punjab the favourite at 55%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Chennaiyin 5.0, Minerva Punjab 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Chennaiyin 1.9, Minerva Punjab 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: Chennaiyin win 21%, draw 23%, Minerva Punjab win 55%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Chennaiyin | Minerva Punjab | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 7.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 24% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 52% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.