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NorthEast United vs Goa: prediction and statistics
India · Indian Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: NorthEast United · Goa
Before kick-off
Indian Super League, 21 November 2026: NorthEast United are at home to Goa. NorthEast United go into the match 2nd of 13 in the table, Goa are 7th. NorthEast United are part of the leading group.
Few sides are in better shape than NorthEast United right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Goa have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for NorthEast United against 6 for Goa.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) NorthEast United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats in 24 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Goa travel well: 9 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats in 21 away matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
This fixture often ends level: 9 of the 16 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished NorthEast United 0:2 Goa. On average these meetings produce 3.2 goals.
Form
NorthEast United: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Goa: last five matches — L-L-L-W-W.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: NorthEast United — 2, Goa — 7 (of 13).
Home and away record
NorthEast United at home and Goa away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| NorthEast United | Goa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-5-9 | 9-7-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: NorthEast United won 3, 9 draws, Goa won 4. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 24.04.2026: NorthEast United 0:2 Goa
- 01.11.2025: Goa 1:2 NorthEast United
- 14.01.2025: NorthEast United 1:1 Goa
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of NorthEast United’s home matches and 38% of Goa’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 9 of 16 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from Goa: 5.4 against 4.4 for NorthEast United.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: NorthEast United 4.4, Goa 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: NorthEast United 2.0, Goa 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Result
Our model: NorthEast United win 49%, draw 25%, Goa win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| NorthEast United | Goa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 33% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.