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Chonburi FC vs Uthai Thani: prediction and statistics
Thailand · Thai League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Chonburi FC · Uthai Thani
Before kick-off
Thai League 1, 21 November 2026: Chonburi FC are at home to Uthai Thani. Chonburi FC go into the match 13th of 16 in the table, Uthai Thani are 8th.
Chonburi FC are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Uthai Thani have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Chonburi FC have 7 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats in 19 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Uthai Thani — 7 wins, 9 draws and 18 defeats in 34 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 on average.
This fixture often ends level: 3 of the 4 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Chonburi FC 1:1 Uthai Thani. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Chonburi FC: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Uthai Thani: last five matches — L-W-W-D-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Chonburi FC — 13, Uthai Thani — 8 (of 16).
Home and away record
Chonburi FC at home and Uthai Thani away, 2024–2026.
| Chonburi FC | Uthai Thani | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 19 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 7-5-7 | 7-9-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Chonburi FC won 0, 3 draws, Uthai Thani won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 13.02.2026: Chonburi FC 1:1 Uthai Thani
- 04.10.2025: Uthai Thani 1:1 Chonburi FC
- 03.03.2024: Uthai Thani 1:1 Chonburi FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 37% of Chonburi FC’s home matches and 44% of Uthai Thani’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 3 of 4 meetings.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Chonburi FC 2.0, Uthai Thani 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Chonburi FC win 49%, draw 24%, Uthai Thani win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Chonburi FC | Uthai Thani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 41% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.