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Ratchaburi vs Prachuap: prediction and statistics
Thailand · Thai League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ratchaburi · Prachuap
Before kick-off
Thai League 1, 21 November 2026: Ratchaburi are at home to Prachuap. They are neighbours in the table: Ratchaburi are 6th and Prachuap 4th of 16.
An uneven run for Ratchaburi: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Prachuap have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 7.
Ratchaburi are hard to beat on their own ground — 19 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats in 34 home matches (2024–2026), with 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The away record of Prachuap: 8 wins, 10 draws and 15 defeats in 33 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 17 meetings — wins: Ratchaburi 5, Prachuap 7; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Ratchaburi 1:1 Prachuap. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Ratchaburi: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Prachuap: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Ratchaburi — 6, Prachuap — 4 (of 16).
Home and away record
Ratchaburi at home and Prachuap away, 2024–2026.
| Ratchaburi | Prachuap | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-8-7 | 8-10-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Ratchaburi won 5, 5 draws, Prachuap won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 14.02.2026: Ratchaburi 1:1 Prachuap
- 05.10.2025: Prachuap 1:0 Ratchaburi
- 28.03.2025: Ratchaburi 3:2 Prachuap
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 56% of Ratchaburi’s home matches and 49% of Prachuap’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Ratchaburi 1.9, Prachuap 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 56%.
Result
Our model: Ratchaburi win 50%, draw 25%, Prachuap win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ratchaburi | Prachuap | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 56% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 49% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.