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Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Club Brugge II · Excelsior Virton
Before kick-off
Club Brugge II host Excelsior Virton in Challenger Pro League on 20 November 2026. In the standings Club Brugge II are 11th and Excelsior Virton 8th out of 15 teams.
Club Brugge II have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Excelsior Virton are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Club Brugge II (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 12 wins, 5 draws and 17 defeats in 34 matches, 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. On the road Excelsior Virton are a dangerous side — 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 away matches, 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (5 February 2023) it ended Club Brugge II 1:0 Excelsior Virton.
Form
Club Brugge II: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Excelsior Virton: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Club Brugge II — 11, Excelsior Virton — 8 (of 15).
Home and away record
Club Brugge II at home and Excelsior Virton away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Club Brugge II | Excelsior Virton | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-5-17 | 4-1-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Club Brugge II won 1, 1 draws, Excelsior Virton won 0. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 05.02.2023: Club Brugge II 1:0 Excelsior Virton
- 30.09.2022: Excelsior Virton 3:3 Club Brugge II
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of Club Brugge II home games and 50% of Excelsior Virton away games.
- Our model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 57%; a draw is 22%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Club Brugge II 1.8, Excelsior Virton 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Club Brugge II win 21%, draw 22%, Excelsior Virton win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Club Brugge II | Excelsior Virton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 25% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 17% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.