Xpect
K. Lierse S.K. vs Lokeren-Temse: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: K. Lierse S.K. · Lokeren-Temse
Before kick-off
Challenger Pro League, 20 November 2026: K. Lierse S.K. are at home to Lokeren-Temse. Lokeren-Temse sit 7th in the 15-team table while K. Lierse S.K. are 13th, so 6 places separate the two sides. K. Lierse S.K. are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
An uneven run for K. Lierse S.K.: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Lokeren-Temse have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) K. Lierse S.K. have 14 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats in 35 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Lokeren-Temse: 15 wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats in 36 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 4 of the 5 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished K. Lierse S.K. 1:1 Lokeren-Temse. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
K. Lierse S.K.: last five matches — L-W-D-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Lokeren-Temse: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: K. Lierse S.K. — 13, Lokeren-Temse — 7 (of 15).
Home and away record
K. Lierse S.K. at home and Lokeren-Temse away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| K. Lierse S.K. | Lokeren-Temse | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 36 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-9-12 | 15-7-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: K. Lierse S.K. won 0, 4 draws, Lokeren-Temse won 1. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 17.04.2026: K. Lierse S.K. 1:1 Lokeren-Temse
- 12.09.2025: Lokeren-Temse 2:0 K. Lierse S.K.
- 24.01.2025: Lokeren-Temse 1:1 K. Lierse S.K.
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Lokeren-Temse is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 57% of K. Lierse S.K.’s home matches and 50% of Lokeren-Temse’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 4 of 5 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from Lokeren-Temse: 6.4 against 3.6 for K. Lierse S.K..
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: K. Lierse S.K. 3.6, Lokeren-Temse 6.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: K. Lierse S.K. 2.1, Lokeren-Temse 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: K. Lierse S.K. win 21%, draw 22%, Lokeren-Temse win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| K. Lierse S.K. | Lokeren-Temse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 53% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 7.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.