Xpect
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Club Queretaro 5.7, Atlante FC 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Club Queretaro 2.0, Atlante FC 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Club Queretaro win 47%, draw 26%, Atlante FC win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Club Queretaro: last five matches — D-L-W-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Atlante FC: last five matches — L-L-L-D-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Club Queretaro — 4, Atlante FC — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Club Queretaro at home and Atlante FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Club Queretaro | Atlante FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 5 |
| Win rate | 37% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 80% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 20% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC?
Market line without margin: Club Queretaro 47%, draw 26%, Atlante FC 27%.