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Club Tijuana vs Atlas: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Club Tijuana 5.0, Atlas 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Club Tijuana 2.1, Atlas 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Club Tijuana win 46%, draw 27%, Atlas win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Club Tijuana: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
Atlas: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Club Tijuana — 6, Atlas — 9 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Club Tijuana at home and Atlas away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Club Tijuana | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 41 |
| Win rate | 55% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 46% |
Head to head
21 meetings in our database: Club Tijuana won 10, 6 draws, Atlas won 5. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.2 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 05.03.2026: Atlas 2:1 Club Tijuana
- 08.11.2025: Club Tijuana 2:0 Atlas
- 10.03.2025: Club Tijuana 3:4 Atlas
Referee
Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre: 227 matches in our database, 4.2 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.4); over 4.5 cards in 38% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Market line without margin: Club Tijuana 46%, draw 27%, Atlas 26%.