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Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Crawley Town · Shrewsbury
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Crawley Town 4.9, Shrewsbury 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Crawley Town 1.8, Shrewsbury 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Crawley Town win 46%, draw 28%, Shrewsbury win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Crawley Town: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Shrewsbury: last five matches — L-L-D-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Crawley Town — 24, Shrewsbury — 18 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Crawley Town at home and Shrewsbury away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Crawley Town | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 28 |
| Win rate | 19% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 11.7 | 7.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 70% | 21% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 54% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Crawley Town won 2, 4 draws, Shrewsbury won 4. Per match: 2.9 goals, 10.8 corners, 6.5 yellow cards.
- 18.04.2026: Crawley Town 0:0 Shrewsbury
- 18.10.2025: Shrewsbury 1:0 Crawley Town
- 03.05.2025: Shrewsbury 1:2 Crawley Town
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Our model: Crawley Town 46%, draw 28%, Shrewsbury 26%.