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Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Shrewsbury 4.9, Bristol Rovers 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Shrewsbury 1.8, Bristol Rovers 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Form
Shrewsbury: last five matches — L-W-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Bristol Rovers: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Shrewsbury — 14, Bristol Rovers — 5 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Shrewsbury at home and Bristol Rovers away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Shrewsbury | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 28 |
| Win rate | 41% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 37% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 32% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 22% | 61% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Shrewsbury won 6, 5 draws, Bristol Rovers won 9. Per match: 2.0 goals, 9.0 corners, 3.9 yellow cards.
- 17.03.2026: Bristol Rovers 1:0 Shrewsbury
- 01.01.2026: Shrewsbury 0:3 Bristol Rovers
- 04.03.2025: Shrewsbury 0:0 Bristol Rovers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.