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Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Crystal Palace 5.1, Nottingham Forest 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Crystal Palace 1.7, Nottingham Forest 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 53%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: Crystal Palace win 34%, draw 31%, Nottingham Forest win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Crystal Palace: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Nottingham Forest: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.
Table: Crystal Palace — 15, Nottingham Forest — 21 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Crystal Palace at home and Nottingham Forest away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 39 |
| Win rate | 25% | 44% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 49% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Crystal Palace won 0, 6 draws, Nottingham Forest won 4. Per match: 1.6 goals, 9.3 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 01.02.2026: Nottingham Forest 1:1 Crystal Palace
- 24.08.2025: Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingham Forest
- 05.05.2025: Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingham Forest
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 28%.
Who is more likely to win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Market line without margin: Crystal Palace 34%, draw 31%, Nottingham Forest 35%.