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DC United vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: DC United 5.6, New York Red Bulls 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: DC United 1.8, New York Red Bulls 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: DC United win 53%, draw 24%, New York Red Bulls win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
DC United: last five matches — D-W-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
New York Red Bulls: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: DC United — 24, New York Red Bulls — 19 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
DC United at home and New York Red Bulls away, 2024–2026.
| DC United | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 52 |
| Win rate | 21% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 29% |
Head to head
47 meetings in our database: DC United won 10, 15 draws, New York Red Bulls won 22. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.2 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 22.04.2026: New York Red Bulls 4:4 DC United
- 24.05.2025: DC United 0:2 New York Red Bulls
- 19.04.2025: New York Red Bulls 1:2 DC United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in DC United vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in DC United vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win DC United vs New York Red Bulls?
Market line without margin: DC United 53%, draw 24%, New York Red Bulls 23%.