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Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportiva Venados · Tritons Vallarta
Key facts
- Deportiva Venados is the more likely winner in our model: 68%, draw 20%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 83% of Deportiva Venados’s home matches and 33% of Tritons Vallarta’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Deportiva Venados win 68%, draw 20%, Tritons Vallarta win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Deportiva Venados: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 24 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Tritons Vallarta: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Deportiva Venados — 6, Tritons Vallarta — 18 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportiva Venados at home and Tritons Vallarta away, 2026.
| Deportiva Venados | Tritons Vallarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 67% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 83% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Deportiva Venados won 1, 1 draws, Tritons Vallarta won 0. Per match: 1.5 goals.
- 25.04.2026: Deportiva Venados 1:0 Tritons Vallarta
- 22.04.2026: Tritons Vallarta 1:1 Deportiva Venados
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our model: Deportiva Venados 68%, draw 20%, Tritons Vallarta 12%.