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Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Recoleta · Club Guarani
Before kick-off
Deportivo Recoleta host Club Guarani in Primera División on 20 November 2026. In the standings Deportivo Recoleta are 9th and Club Guarani 6th out of 12 teams.
Deportivo Recoleta have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Club Guarani right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games.
The home record of Deportivo Recoleta (2024–2026) is balanced: 15 wins, 11 draws and 16 defeats in 42 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. On the road Club Guarani are a dangerous side — 29 wins, 21 draws and 14 defeats in 64 away matches, 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
History favours Club Guarani — 7 wins from 9 meetings with Deportivo Recoleta. Last time out (7 September 2026) it ended Club Guarani 2:0 Deportivo Recoleta. On average these meetings produce 3.3 goals.
Form
Deportivo Recoleta: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Club Guarani: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
Table: Deportivo Recoleta — 9, Club Guarani — 6 (of 12).
Home and away record
Deportivo Recoleta at home and Club Guarani away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Recoleta | Club Guarani | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 64 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-11-16 | 29-21-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Deportivo Recoleta won 2, 0 draws, Club Guarani won 7. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 07.09.2026: Club Guarani 2:0 Deportivo Recoleta
- 23.05.2026: Deportivo Recoleta 2:1 Club Guarani
- 18.03.2026: Club Guarani 3:1 Deportivo Recoleta
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Deportivo Recoleta 35%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 38%.
- Club Guarani has won 7 of the last 9 meetings with Deportivo Recoleta.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Deportivo Recoleta home games and 42% of Club Guarani away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Deportivo Recoleta 4.4, Club Guarani 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Deportivo Recoleta 2.2, Club Guarani 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Recoleta win 35%, draw 28%, Club Guarani win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Deportivo Recoleta | Club Guarani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 42% |
| Both teams score | 69% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 8.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 55% | 48% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 7.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.