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Enköping vs Orebro SK: prediction and statistics

Sweden · Superettan · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Team stats: Enköping · Orebro SK

Before kick-off

Enköping host Orebro SK in Superettan on 21 November 2026.

Enköping arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Orebro SK: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Enköping took 11 from that stretch and Orebro SK only 5.

Form

Enköping: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.

Orebro SK: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.

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Key facts

  • Our model sees an open game: Enköping 40%, draw 25%, Orebro SK 36%.

Yellow cards

72%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Enköping 1.8, Orebro SK 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 31%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 53%, typical match 50%.

Result

Our model: Enköping win 40%, draw 25%, Orebro SK win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

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