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Lund vs Norrby IF: prediction and statistics
Sweden · Superettan · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Superettan, 21 November 2026: Lund are at home to Norrby IF.
An uneven run for Lund: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Norrby IF are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Lund have not made their ground a fortress: 2 wins and 4 defeats in 6 home matches (2024–2026), 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Norrby IF — 1 win, 9 draws and 6 defeats in 16 away matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 7 meetings — wins: Lund 4, Norrby IF 1; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 30 August 2025, finished Lund 2:1 Norrby IF. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Lund: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Norrby IF: last five matches — L-L-D-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
Home and away record
Lund at home and Norrby IF away, 2024–2026.
| Lund | Norrby IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 16 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-0-4 | 1-9-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Lund won 4, 2 draws, Norrby IF won 1. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 30.08.2025: Lund 2:1 Norrby IF
- 03.05.2025: Norrby IF 2:2 Lund
- 10.11.2024: Lund 1:1 Norrby IF
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Lund’s home matches and 31% of Norrby IF’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Lund 1.7, Norrby IF 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Lund win 47%, draw 24%, Norrby IF win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Lund | Norrby IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 2.0 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 19% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.