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Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera División · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Everton de Vina 5.8, D. La Serena 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards: Everton de Vina 2.2, D. La Serena 3.2; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 63% (typical match — 62%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 63%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: Everton de Vina win 53%, draw 25%, D. La Serena win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Everton de Vina: last five matches — L-D-W-L-L.
D. La Serena: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Everton de Vina — 6, D. La Serena — 10 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Everton de Vina at home and D. La Serena away, 2024–2026.
| Everton de Vina | D. La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 26 |
| Win rate | 29% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 69% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 62% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 71% | 54% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Everton de Vina won 4, 2 draws, D. La Serena won 3. Per match: 2.7 goals, 12.3 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 11.04.2026: D. La Serena 1:0 Everton de Vina
- 28.08.2025: Everton de Vina 3:1 D. La Serena
- 13.04.2025: D. La Serena 2:1 Everton de Vina
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 63%.
Who is more likely to win Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?
Market line without margin: Everton de Vina 53%, draw 25%, D. La Serena 22%.