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FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: FC Cincinnati 5.7, New England Revolution 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: FC Cincinnati 1.8, New England Revolution 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: FC Cincinnati win 46%, draw 24%, New England Revolution win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
FC Cincinnati: last five matches — W-L-W-D-D.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
New England Revolution: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: FC Cincinnati — 18, New England Revolution — 6 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC Cincinnati at home and New England Revolution away, 2024–2026.
| FC Cincinnati | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 48 |
| Win rate | 51% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 35% |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: FC Cincinnati won 6, 4 draws, New England Revolution won 7. Per match: 3.5 goals, 11.0 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 15.03.2026: New England Revolution 6:1 FC Cincinnati
- 23.01.2026: New England Revolution 1:1 FC Cincinnati
- 14.06.2025: New England Revolution 0:1 FC Cincinnati
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Market line without margin: FC Cincinnati 46%, draw 24%, New England Revolution 30%.