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Galatasaray vs Barcelona: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 13 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Galatasaray 5.4, Barcelona 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 51%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Galatasaray 1.9, Barcelona 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Galatasaray win 12%, draw 14%, Barcelona win 75%. Over 2.5 goals — 79%, both teams to score — 66%.
Form
Galatasaray: last five matches — D-L-D-W-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Barcelona: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 10 wins in a row · all competitions
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Galatasaray at home and Barcelona away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Galatasaray | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 13 |
| Win rate | 57% | 54% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 85% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 85% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 86% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.7 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 71% | 54% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Galatasaray won 0, 1 draws, Barcelona won 1. Per match: 1.5 goals, 10.0 corners, 5.5 yellow cards.
- 17.03.2022: Galatasaray 1:2 Barcelona
- 10.03.2022: Barcelona 0:0 Galatasaray
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
Market line without margin: Galatasaray 12%, draw 14%, Barcelona 75%.