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Granada CF vs Cadiz: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Granada CF 5.3, Cadiz 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Granada CF 2.2, Cadiz 3.1; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 61% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: Granada CF win 52%, draw 24%, Cadiz win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Granada CF: last five matches — W-W-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Cadiz: last five matches — W-D-D-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Granada CF — 9, Cadiz — 19 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Granada CF at home and Cadiz away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Granada CF | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 45 |
| Win rate | 38% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 47% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Granada CF won 3, 8 draws, Cadiz won 5. Per match: 1.4 goals, 9.4 corners, 4.6 yellow cards.
- 05.08.2026: Cadiz 2:0 Granada CF
- 24.01.2026: Cadiz 1:2 Granada CF
- 25.10.2025: Granada CF 0:0 Cadiz
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Granada CF vs Cadiz?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.
How many yellow cards in Granada CF vs Cadiz?
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 61%.
Who is more likely to win Granada CF vs Cadiz?
Our model: Granada CF 52%, draw 24%, Cadiz 25%.