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Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Guadalajara Chivas 6.4, Club Queretaro 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Guadalajara Chivas 1.9, Club Queretaro 2.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Guadalajara Chivas win 66%, draw 20%, Club Queretaro win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Guadalajara Chivas: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Club Queretaro: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Guadalajara Chivas — 2, Club Queretaro — 5 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Guadalajara Chivas at home and Club Queretaro away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 38 |
| Win rate | 55% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 34% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Guadalajara Chivas won 6, 11 draws, Club Queretaro won 2. Per match: 2.1 goals, 9.9 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 17.01.2026: Guadalajara Chivas 2:1 Club Queretaro
- 23.10.2025: Club Queretaro 1:0 Guadalajara Chivas
- 01.02.2025: Guadalajara Chivas 1:1 Club Queretaro
Referee
Salvador Perez Villalobos: 17 matches in our database, 4.7 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.4); over 4.5 cards in 47% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.
Who is more likely to win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?
Market line without margin: Guadalajara Chivas 66%, draw 20%, Club Queretaro 14%.