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Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Helmond Sport 5.0, NAC Breda 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Helmond Sport 1.9, NAC Breda 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 72%, typical match 76%.
Form
Helmond Sport: last five matches — D-D-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
NAC Breda: last five matches — W-D-L-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Helmond Sport — 17, NAC Breda — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Helmond Sport at home and NAC Breda away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 5 |
| Win rate | 40% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 40% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Helmond Sport won 3, 4 draws, NAC Breda won 5. Per match: 2.4 goals, 9.8 corners, 2.6 yellow cards.
- 26.01.2024: Helmond Sport 1:0 NAC Breda
- 27.10.2023: NAC Breda 1:1 Helmond Sport
- 13.01.2023: Helmond Sport 2:2 NAC Breda
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 28%.