Xpect
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: VVV Venlo 5.4, Jong AZ 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: VVV Venlo 1.6, Jong AZ 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Form
VVV Venlo: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Jong AZ: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: VVV Venlo — 3, Jong AZ — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
VVV Venlo at home and Jong AZ away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| VVV Venlo | Jong AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 43 |
| Win rate | 40% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 72% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 23% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: VVV Venlo won 2, 1 draws, Jong AZ won 10. Per match: 3.1 goals, 9.4 corners, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 16.01.2026: VVV Venlo 1:3 Jong AZ
- 07.11.2025: Jong AZ 0:2 VVV Venlo
- 03.02.2025: Jong AZ 3:0 VVV Venlo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.