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Roda vs Jong PSV U21: prediction and statistics

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

55%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Roda 4.9, Jong PSV U21 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 56%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.

Yellow cards

85%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 2.8 yellow cards: Roda 1.3, Jong PSV U21 1.5; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 15% (typical match — 24%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 70%, typical match 57%.

Form

Roda: last five matches — W-D-L-W-L.

Jong PSV U21: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.

How many yellow cards in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?

Our model expects 2.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 15%.

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