Xpect
Inhulets vs Prykarpattia: prediction and statistics
Ukraine · Persha Liga · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Inhulets 1.9, Prykarpattia 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Form
Inhulets: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Prykarpattia: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 wins in a row · away
Table: Inhulets — 8, Prykarpattia — 5 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Inhulets at home and Prykarpattia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Inhulets | Prykarpattia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 18 | 30 |
| Win rate | 44% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 27% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Inhulets won 5, 1 draws, Prykarpattia won 2. Per match: 1.7 goals, 0.8 yellow cards.
- 16.05.2026: Inhulets 0:0 Prykarpattia
- 25.10.2025: Prykarpattia 0:2 Inhulets
- 27.04.2024: Inhulets 4:0 Prykarpattia
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Inhulets vs Prykarpattia?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 41%.