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UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: prediction and statistics
Ukraine · Persha Liga · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: UCSA 2.1, Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Form
UCSA: last five matches — D-W-L-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Viktoriya Mykolaivka: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: UCSA — 11, Viktoriya Mykolaivka — 1 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
UCSA at home and Viktoriya Mykolaivka away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| UCSA | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 31 | 31 |
| Win rate | 32% | 39% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 36% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: UCSA won 0, 2 draws, Viktoriya Mykolaivka won 2. Per match: 3.0 goals, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 19.04.2026: UCSA 1:1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- 05.10.2025: Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2:0 UCSA
- 27.11.2024: Viktoriya Mykolaivka 5:1 UCSA
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.