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Inter Playa del Carmen vs Lobos ULMX: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Inter Playa del Carmen · Lobos ULMX
Key facts
- Inter Playa del Carmen has won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Lobos ULMX.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of Inter Playa del Carmen home games and 67% of Lobos ULMX away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Inter Playa del Carmen 45%, draw 26%, Lobos ULMX 29%.
Result
Final score 1:2.
Result
Our model: Inter Playa del Carmen win 45%, draw 26%, Lobos ULMX win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Inter Playa del Carmen: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Lobos ULMX: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Inter Playa del Carmen — 17, Lobos ULMX — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Inter Playa del Carmen at home and Lobos ULMX away, 2026.
| Inter Playa del Carmen | Lobos ULMX | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 17% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Inter Playa del Carmen won 3, 1 draws, Lobos ULMX won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 19.04.2024: Inter Playa del Carmen 1:0 Lobos ULMX
- 21.11.2023: Lobos ULMX 3:3 Inter Playa del Carmen
- 30.01.2022: Lobos ULMX 1:4 Inter Playa del Carmen
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Inter Playa del Carmen vs Lobos ULMX?
Our model: Inter Playa del Carmen 45%, draw 26%, Lobos ULMX 29%.