Xpect
Irapuato vs Celaya: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 17 November 2026 · kick-off
🔒 Forecast for this match is in the Xpect app
Corners, cards, result, goals, team stats and referee — all lines are open in the app.
Form
Irapuato: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 14 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 11 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Celaya: last five matches — W-D-D-L-W.
- 21 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Irapuato — 1, Celaya — 4 (of 18).
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.