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Klubi-04 vs JäPS: prediction and statistics

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 26 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

60%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Klubi-04 1.9, JäPS 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 43%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.

Result

Market line without margin: Klubi-04 win 53%, draw 24%, JäPS win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.

Form

Klubi-04: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.

JäPS: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.

Table: Klubi-04 — 9, JäPS — 5 (of 10).

Team statistics for three seasons

Klubi-04 at home and JäPS away, 2024–2026.

Klubi-04JäPS
Matches2540
Win rate28%30%
Goals scored per match1.41.4
Goals conceded per match1.72.0
Over 2.5 goals48%68%
Both teams score64%57%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.43.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards52%30%

Head to head

5 meetings in our database: Klubi-04 won 1, 0 draws, JäPS won 4. Per match: 3.6 goals, 4.8 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Klubi-04 vs JäPS?

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.

Who is more likely to win Klubi-04 vs JäPS?

Market line without margin: Klubi-04 53%, draw 24%, JäPS 23%.

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