Xpect
Kooteepee vs MP: prediction and statistics
Finland · Ykkösliiga · 25 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Kooteepee 1.8, MP 1.6; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 38%.
Result
Market line without margin: Kooteepee win 66%, draw 19%, MP win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Kooteepee: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 8 wins in a row · all competitions
MP: last five matches — D-L-L-L-W.
- 18 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Kooteepee — 1, MP — 7 (of 10).
Team statistics for three seasons
Kooteepee at home and MP away, 2024–2026.
| Kooteepee | MP | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 26 |
| Win rate | 73% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 39% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 19% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Kooteepee won 7, 2 draws, MP won 2. Per match: 3.8 goals, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 25.07.2026: MP 3:3 Kooteepee
- 10.04.2026: Kooteepee 1:0 MP
- 06.10.2024: MP 0:5 Kooteepee
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Kooteepee vs MP?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win Kooteepee vs MP?
Market line without margin: Kooteepee 66%, draw 19%, MP 15%.