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KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: KV Mechelen 5.2, Sint-Truidense 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: KV Mechelen 1.8, Sint-Truidense 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: KV Mechelen win 29%, draw 26%, Sint-Truidense win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
KV Mechelen: last five matches — D-D-L-L-L.
- 11 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · at home
Sint-Truidense: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: KV Mechelen — 17, Sint-Truidense — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
KV Mechelen at home and Sint-Truidense away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| KV Mechelen | Sint-Truidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 41 |
| Win rate | 33% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 59% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 58% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 24% |
Head to head
31 meetings in our database: KV Mechelen won 10, 6 draws, Sint-Truidense won 15. Per match: 2.4 goals, 8.1 corners, 3.5 yellow cards.
- 24.05.2026: Sint-Truidense 3:0 KV Mechelen
- 26.04.2026: KV Mechelen 1:4 Sint-Truidense
- 21.12.2025: Sint-Truidense 1:0 KV Mechelen
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense?
Market line without margin: KV Mechelen 29%, draw 26%, Sint-Truidense 45%.