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Las Palmas vs Castellón: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Las Palmas 4.9, Castellón 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Las Palmas 2.2, Castellón 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 43%.
Form
Las Palmas: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Castellón: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · away
Table: Las Palmas — 11, Castellón — 2 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Las Palmas at home and Castellón away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Las Palmas | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 47 |
| Win rate | 50% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 62% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 53% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Las Palmas won 2, 1 draws, Castellón won 2. Per match: 2.4 goals, 7.0 corners, 5.5 yellow cards.
- 21.02.2026: Las Palmas 1:1 Castellón
- 30.11.2025: Castellón 1:0 Las Palmas
- 27.02.2021: Castellón 4:0 Las Palmas
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Las Palmas vs Castellón?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in Las Palmas vs Castellón?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.