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Lens vs Sporting CP: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 13 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Lens 5.5, Sporting CP 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Lens 2.0, Sporting CP 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Form
Lens: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Sporting CP: last five matches — D-W-D-W-D.
- 12 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Lens at home and Sporting CP away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Lens | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | — | 11 |
| Win rate | — | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | — | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | — | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 55% |
| Both teams score | — | 64% |
| Total corners per match | — | 8.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 27% |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | 36% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Lens vs Sporting CP?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in Lens vs Sporting CP?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.