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Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 3 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Leyton Orient 5.3, Plymouth 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Leyton Orient 2.0, Plymouth 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Leyton Orient win 32%, draw 26%, Plymouth win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Leyton Orient: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
Plymouth: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Leyton Orient — 11, Plymouth — 4 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Leyton Orient at home and Plymouth away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Leyton Orient | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 27 |
| Win rate | 41% | 52% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 59% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 82% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 29% | 44% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Leyton Orient won 3, 2 draws, Plymouth won 7. Per match: 3.0 goals, 9.8 corners, 2.1 yellow cards.
- 17.02.2026: Leyton Orient 1:3 Plymouth
- 02.12.2025: Leyton Orient 0:1 Plymouth
- 19.08.2025: Plymouth 0:1 Leyton Orient
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
Market line without margin: Leyton Orient 32%, draw 26%, Plymouth 43%.