Xpect
Los Angeles FC vs Austin: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Los Angeles FC 6.2, Austin 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Los Angeles FC 2.0, Austin 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Los Angeles FC win 66%, draw 21%, Austin win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Los Angeles FC: last five matches — D-D-L-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Austin: last five matches — W-L-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Los Angeles FC — 11, Austin — 23 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Los Angeles FC at home and Austin away, 2024–2026.
| Los Angeles FC | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 49 |
| Win rate | 65% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 49% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Los Angeles FC won 9, 3 draws, Austin won 4. Per match: 2.7 goals, 9.9 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2026: Austin 0:0 Los Angeles FC
- 03.11.2025: Austin 1:4 Los Angeles FC
- 30.10.2025: Los Angeles FC 2:1 Austin
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
Market line without margin: Los Angeles FC 66%, draw 21%, Austin 13%.