Xpect
Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth: prediction and statistics
Kenya · FKF Premier League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mara Sugar · Migori Youth
🔒 Forecast for this match is in the Xpect app
Corners, cards, result, goals, team stats and referee — all lines are open in the app.
Form
Mara Sugar: last five matches — D-W-W-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Migori Youth: last five matches — W-D-L-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.