Xpect
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar: prediction and statistics
Kenya · FKF Premier League · 14 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Nairobi United · Mara Sugar
🔒 Forecast for this match is in the Xpect app
Corners, cards, result, goals, team stats and referee — all lines are open in the app.
Form
Nairobi United: last five matches — W-D-D-D-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Mara Sugar: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.