Xpect
MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: MB Rouisset · CR Belouizdad
Before kick-off
Ligue 1, 19 November 2026: MB Rouisset are at home to CR Belouizdad. MB Rouisset go into the match 4th of 16 in the table, CR Belouizdad are 1st.
Few sides are in better shape than MB Rouisset right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. CR Belouizdad arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches.
MB Rouisset are hard to beat on their own ground — 11 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats in 19 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. CR Belouizdad travel well: 14 wins, 16 draws and 5 defeats in 35 away matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.8 per game in home matches of MB Rouisset and 2.0 in away matches of CR Belouizdad.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished CR Belouizdad 3:1 MB Rouisset.
Form
MB Rouisset: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 11 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
CR Belouizdad: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: MB Rouisset — 4, CR Belouizdad — 1 (of 16).
Home and away record
MB Rouisset at home and CR Belouizdad away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| MB Rouisset | CR Belouizdad | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 19 | 35 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 11-6-2 | 14-16-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: MB Rouisset won 0, 1 draws, CR Belouizdad won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 07.03.2026: CR Belouizdad 3:1 MB Rouisset
- 03.10.2025: MB Rouisset 1:1 CR Belouizdad
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 29% – 30% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 21% of MB Rouisset’s home matches and 31% of CR Belouizdad’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: MB Rouisset 2.2, CR Belouizdad 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 47%.
Result
Our model: MB Rouisset win 29%, draw 30%, CR Belouizdad win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| MB Rouisset | CR Belouizdad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 42% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 66% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.