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MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: MC Alger · Olympique Akbou
Before kick-off
Ligue 1, 19 November 2026: MC Alger are at home to Olympique Akbou. MC Alger go into the match 3rd of 16 in the table, Olympique Akbou are 7th. MC Alger are part of the leading group.
Few sides are in better shape than MC Alger right now — 5 wins from the last 5 games. Olympique Akbou have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 15 for MC Alger against 5 for Olympique Akbou.
MC Alger are hard to beat on their own ground — 24 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeat in 34 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. The away record of Olympique Akbou: 7 wins, 12 draws and 15 defeats in 34 matches, with 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded on average. Both samples are low on goals: 2.1 per game in home matches of MC Alger and 1.9 in away matches of Olympique Akbou.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: MC Alger 2, Olympique Akbou 1; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished MC Alger 2:1 Olympique Akbou. On average these meetings produce 1.2 goals.
Form
MC Alger: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 35 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 wins in a row · at home
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Olympique Akbou: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: MC Alger — 3, Olympique Akbou — 7 (of 16).
Home and away record
MC Alger at home and Olympique Akbou away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| MC Alger | Olympique Akbou | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 24-9-1 | 7-12-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: MC Alger won 2, 1 draws, Olympique Akbou won 1. Per match: 1.2 goals.
- 28.04.2026: MC Alger 2:1 Olympique Akbou
- 12.09.2025: Olympique Akbou 0:1 MC Alger
- 15.04.2025: Olympique Akbou 1:0 MC Alger
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- MC Alger is the more likely winner in our model: 67%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 35% of MC Alger’s home matches and 32% of Olympique Akbou’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: MC Alger 2.6, Olympique Akbou 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 60% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 60%, typical match 47%.
Result
Our model: MC Alger win 67%, draw 22%, Olympique Akbou win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 35%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| MC Alger | Olympique Akbou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 71% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 53% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 7.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.